Are the Hottest Years in Human History Ahead? The Next 5 Years Could Be Record-Breaking Warm — WMO

UN experts warn of an unprecedented rise in global temperatures.

According to the forecast, the average annual near-surface air temperature for the period 2026–2030 will be 1.3–1.9 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level of 1850–1900. This means the planet will continue to warm at an alarming rate.

The WMO estimates an 86% probability that at least one year in the next five years will surpass the record set in 2024. Experts note that this reflects a persistent upward trend in global warming that intensifies year after year.

The record set in 2024 has already made it the warmest year in observational history, and there is now a high likelihood that this record will soon be broken. Meteorologists link rising temperatures to increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, as well as natural climate variability.

Scientists warn that unless decisive measures are taken to reduce emissions, the consequences of global warming will become even more severe. More frequent extreme weather events, rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and shifting climate zones are just some of the challenges humanity will face.

The World Meteorological Organization is calling on countries around the world to intensify efforts to combat climate change and transition to a “green” economy. Time for action is limited, and each year of delay increases the risk of irreversible consequences.